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45 results

Machine Learning 1. Lecture 6. Linear Regression Models

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

Multiple linear regression and least squares, the pseudoinverse and the geometric meaning of least squares; the solution through the singular value decomposition; multicollinearity and the condition number; ridge regression, choosing the regularization parameter and the effective dimension; LASSO and non-smooth regularizers for feature selection; principal component analysis as a low-rank matrix decomposition; the spectral method of least squares.
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130

Machine Learning 1. Lecture 14. Anomaly Detection and Robust Methods

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

Anomaly and novelty detection; heuristic anomaly scores: local density, isolation forest, a mixture with a background component, robust principal component analysis; outlier removal in nonparametric regression, the LOWESS algorithm; anomaly as the value of the loss function; the theory of robust learning: slowly growing functions, iterative reweighting of objects with IRS and IRLS, robust loss functions, the median, the quantile and the censored mean, robust aggregation functions and their smoothing, the IR-ERM algorithm; one-class SVM, learning from positive and unlabeled objects (PU-learning), problems with new and unknown classes.
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480

Machine Learning 2. Lecture 2. Neural Networks for Unsupervised Learning

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

Kohonen networks: clustering as a two-layer neural network, the hard (WTA) and soft (WTM) competition rules, self-organising Kohonen maps and their interpretation; autoencoders: the formulation of the problem, the linear autoencoder and the principal component method, sparse, denoising, contractive, relational and variational autoencoders, reparametrisation, autoencoders for supervised learning, multilayer autoencoders; joint training of several models: pre-training and transfer learning, multi-task learning and few-shot learning, self-supervised learning, distillation and surrogate modelling, learning using privileged information (LUPI), generative adversarial networks (GAN).
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210

Machine Learning 1. Lecture 15. A Short Review of the Semester

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

A closing review of the first semester: empirical risk minimisation and gradient methods; underfitting, overfitting, multicollinearity and regularisation; optimisation formulations of supervised learning (regression, classification, ranking) and unsupervised learning (density, mixtures, clustering, one-class classification, semi-supervised learning, PU-learning, principal component analysis, autoencoders); the six scientific schools of machine learning — symbolism, evolutionism, analogism, Bayesianism, connectionism, compositionism — and their Soviet roots; estimate-calculating algorithms; practice: CRISP-DM, data preprocessing, model evaluation and selection, loss analysis, A/B testing, meta-learning and AutoML.
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170

Machine Learning 1. Lecture 7. Generalizations of Linear Models

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

Nonlinear regression: the Newton–Raphson and Gauss–Newton methods as a series of linear regressions; logistic regression and iteratively reweighted least squares (IRLS); the generalized additive model and backfitting; the probabilistic meaning of least squares; the generalized linear model (GLM), the exponential family of distributions and the link function; logistic regression as a special case of GLM; the median, quantile regression and robust loss functions.
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Machine Learning 1. Lecture 3. Neural Networks: Gradient Optimization Methods

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

The neuron as a linear model; implementing Boolean functions and the exclusive-OR problem; two-layer networks as universal approximators, Cybenko's theorem; the multilayer network and the backpropagation method; the adaptive gradient methods RMSProp, AdaDelta, Adam, Nadam; gradient explosion and gradient clipping; Dropout, ReLU activation functions, batch normalization, initialization and network pruning (Optimal Brain Damage).
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130

Machine Learning 2. Adaptive Forecasting Methods

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

Time series forecasting problems: the time series model, the forecasting horizon, the least squares method; econometrics as the main source of problems — trends, seasonalities, change points; examples of forecasting sales volumes and electricity prices; the linear autoregression model; a brief survey of forecasting methods; adaptive short-term forecasting methods: the exponential moving average and the smoothing parameter, the models of Holt, Theil–Wage, Winters with linear and exponential trend, adaptive autoregression; the tracking signal and a statistical test of model adequacy, the Trigg–Leach model; adaptive selection and adaptive composition of models, the LAVR method — local adaptation of weights with regularisation, the monotonicity constraint as a regulariser; experiments on the sales forecasting problem.
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Machine Learning 1. Lecture 2. Stochastic Gradient and the Linear Classifier

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

The general scheme of supervised learning for regression, binary and multiclass classification; the margin and continuous approximations of the threshold loss; the linear classifier as a model of a neuron; the stochastic gradient method, momentum, Nesterov's accelerated gradient and heuristics; multicollinearity and L2 regularization; the maximum likelihood principle, its link to empirical risk minimization and the probabilistic meaning of regularization.
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Machine Learning 1. Lecture 12. Density Estimation and Bayesian Classification

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

Estimating a probability density from a sample: the maximum likelihood principle, the multivariate Gaussian density and its geometric meaning, multicollinearity and regularisation of the covariance matrix; separating a mixture of distributions, the EM algorithm as a method of simple iterations, the Gaussian mixture (GMM); the nonparametric Parzen–Rosenblatt estimate, the choice of kernel and window width; Bayesian classification theory: the generative and discriminative approaches, the optimal Bayes classifier, the Parzen window method, the quadratic discriminant, Fisher's linear discriminant, the radial basis function network and its training by the EM algorithm.
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160

Machine Learning 2. Lecture 1. Deep Neural Networks

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

Reminder: the neuron model, the multilayer network, stochastic gradient, momentum, vanishing and exploding gradients, ReLU, dropout, batch normalisation; depth matters more than width; feature generation and end-to-end learning; convolutional neural networks: convolution and pooling layers, the standard CNN scheme, AlexNet and ImageNet, residual networks ResNet and Highway Networks; convolutional networks for speech, texts and games; recurrent neural networks, training by BPTT, long short-term memory networks LSTM, the peephole variant, GRU.
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390

Machine Learning 2. Lecture 7. Recommender Systems

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

Collaborative filtering problems: transaction data, the clients–items matrix, filling in missing values and ranking recommendations, the Netflix Prize competition; user-based and item-based correlation methods, the Pearson, cosine and Jaccard similarity measures, Fisher's exact test; the sparse linear model SLIM; latent models and matrix factorisations: SVD, the alternating least squares method ALS, the latent factor model LFM and stochastic gradient, nonnegative matrix factorisations NNMF, PLSA; taking implicit preferences into account (implicit feedback); matrix factorisation as a linear autoencoder, neural network and denoising autoencoders; taking features of clients and items into account, factorisation machines libFM, a hypergraph topic model; the quality of recommendations: RMSE, precision@k, recall@k, diversity, novelty, coverage, serendipity, bias, offline and online evaluation.
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140

Machine Learning 2. Lecture 8. Association Rule Mining

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

Association rule mining as unsupervised learning: binary features, support and frequent itemsets, the association rule, minimum support MinSupp and minimum confidence MinConf; market basket analysis; the link between association rules and logical regularities; the anti-monotonicity of support; the APriori algorithm: breadth-first search for frequent itemsets and recursive extraction of rules; modifications: search on a random subsample, item hierarchies, incremental and decremental algorithms; the FP-growth algorithm: the prefix FP-tree, building it in one pass over the transaction database, computing the support of any itemset from the tree, the conditional FP-tree and recursive search for frequent itemsets; the speed of FP-growth compared with APriori.
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160

Machine Learning. Additional Lecture 1. The Theory of Overfitting

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

The combinatorial theory of overfitting: the probability of overfitting and why the Vapnik–Chervonenkis bounds are loose; experiments with overfitting — a monotone chain of algorithms, the effect of splitting and connectivity of the family on the probability of overfitting and on the complete cross-validation estimate, overfitting of chains, the exact formula for the probability of overfitting when choosing between two algorithms; the splitting–connectivity graph of a family of algorithms, examples for linear classifiers, a monotone chain and a two-dimensional net; generating and forbidden sets, upper connectivity and inferiority of an algorithm; the splitting–connectivity upper bound, the idea of its proof and its properties.
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220

Probability Theory. Lecture 1

2026LectureСтанислав Шапошников

The finite probability space and five properties of probability, a description of all probability measures on a finite set, equally likely outcomes and the choice of a model, classical paradoxes (two dice, the division of the stakes, Bertrand's paradox), conditional probability and the product rule, the law of total probability as a way to define a measure, Bayes' formula, independence of events.
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170

Константин Вячеславович Воронцов — профессор РАН, доктор физико-математических наук. Заведующий кафедрой «Математические методы прогнозирования» ВМК МГУ, где с 2021 года — профессор; заведующий лабораторией «Машинное обучение и семантический анализ» Института искусственного интеллекта МГУ (с 2022 года); заведующий кафедрой «Машинное обучение и цифровая гуманитаристика» МФТИ (с 2021 года); заведующий кафедрой «Интеллектуальные системы» МФТИ (с 2022 года), на которой работает с 2004 года; главный научный сотрудник отдела «Интеллектуальные системы» ВЦ ФИЦ ИУ РАН, где работает с 2001 года. Окончил МФТИ (1994) и аспирантуру ВЦ РАН (1997). Кандидатская диссертация «Локальные базисы в алгебраическом подходе к проблеме распознавания» (1999, специальность 01.01.09); докторская диссертация «Комбинаторная теория надёжности обучения по прецедентам» (2010, специальность 05.13.17). Автор комбинаторной теории надёжности обучения по прецедентам, оценивающей вероятность переобучения с учётом эффектов расслоения и сходства в семействах алгоритмов; основное направление его исследований — теория и методы аддитивной регуляризации тематических моделей (ARTM). С 2014 года — научный руководитель разработки библиотеки тематического моделирования с открытым кодом BigARTM, с 2019 года — поисково-рекомендательной системы SciSearch. Один из идеологов и администраторов ресурса MachineLearning.ru (с 2008 года). Медаль РАН с премией для молодых учёных (1999, совместно с Е. В. Нарыжным); почётное звание профессора РАН (2015); юбилейная медаль РАН «300 лет Российской академии наук» (2024); премия Yandex ML Prize в номинации «Зал славы» (2025). Автор курсов «Вероятностные тематические модели», «Математические методы анализа текстов», «Прикладной статистический анализ данных» и спецкурса по теории надёжности обучения по прецедентам; в 2008–2020 годах преподавал в Школе анализа данных Яндекса. С 2004 года читает годовой курс «Машинное обучение» в МФТИ и ВМК МГУ.

Geometry. Lecture 1

2026LectureФёдор Попеленский

What geometries there are and what they have in common — Klein's Erlangen programme; the school 3–4–5 triangle and the ellipsoid; the cube and the brick as finite geometries; metric spaces; groups, quantifiers in the axioms; the group of bijections and the order of composition; left and right actions of a group on a set; the metrics d1d_1, d2d_2, d∞d_\infty on Rn\mathbb{R}^n; isometries, subgroups; the order of an element; orbits, stabilisers, transitive actions; the list of geometries in the course — the Euclidean plane, the regular triangle and S3S_3, the cube and its 48 symmetries, the Poincaré model of the Lobachevsky plane; fundamental domains; subgeometries — the square in the cube.

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330

Machine Learning 1. Lecture 5. The Support Vector Machine

2026LectureКонстантин Вячеславович Воронцов

The optimal separating hyperplane and the width of the separating strip; the hinge loss and L2 regularization; the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker conditions, the dual problem and the types of objects; kernels, rectifying spaces and the constructive building of kernels; SVM as a two-layer neural network; choosing the constant C; SVM regression; L1 regularization, Elastic Net SVM, SFM and RVM.
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190