Search results for “отбор признаков”

Measures of classification quality: type I and type II errors, the ROC curve and AUC, gradient maximization of AUC, log-loss, precision and recall, micro- and macro-averaging, the F-measure; internal and external criteria of generalization ability; hold-out, leave-one-out, q-fold and t×q-fold cross-validation, stratification; model consistency; regularization, AIC, BIC and the Vapnik–Chervonenkis bound; multi-criteria model selection; feature selection: full search, Add, Add-Del, depth-first search, beam search (GMDH), the genetic algorithm and random search with adaptation.

A survey lecture: machine learning as formulations of optimisation problems, a model, a loss function, a regulariser. Regression and classification, continuous approximations of the threshold loss function, SVM and logistic regression, quantile, robust and SVM regression; the L0, L1, L2, Elastic Net, SFM, RFM regularisers and feature selection; learning to rank: ordinal regression, the pairwise approach and AUC, LambdaRank; estimating a density and a mixture of distributions, clustering as a special case of a mixture, the one-class SVM; semi-supervised learning, the transductive SVM, PU-learning; matrix factorisations, autoencoders, multidimensional scaling, graph factorisations, GraphEDM; transfer learning, multi-task and self-supervised learning, distillation, learning using privileged information, generative adversarial networks; a typology of machine learning problems.

The optimal separating hyperplane and the width of the separating strip; the hinge loss and L2 regularization; the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker conditions, the dual problem and the types of objects; kernels, rectifying spaces and the constructive building of kernels; SVM as a two-layer neural network; choosing the constant C; SVM regression; L1 regularization, Elastic Net SVM, SFM and RVM.

The interpretability of models; decision trees and the greedy ID3 algorithm; the axioms of impurity, the entropy and Gini criteria; handling missing values; the merits and drawbacks of the greedy strategy; tree pruning (post-pruning); CART regression trees and Minimal Cost-Complexity Pruning; rule induction: logical regularities, families of rules (conjunctions, syndromes, half-planes, balls), search metaheuristics, a tree as a covering set of conjunctions; the Pareto front in (p,n) space, logical and statistical regularities, Fisher's exact test, informativeness criteria; building a classifier from regularities.

A closing review of the first semester: empirical risk minimisation and gradient methods; underfitting, overfitting, multicollinearity and regularisation; optimisation formulations of supervised learning (regression, classification, ranking) and unsupervised learning (density, mixtures, clustering, one-class classification, semi-supervised learning, PU-learning, principal component analysis, autoencoders); the six scientific schools of machine learning — symbolism, evolutionism, analogism, Bayesianism, connectionism, compositionism — and their Soviet roots; estimate-calculating algorithms; practice: CRISP-DM, data preprocessing, model evaluation and selection, loss analysis, A/B testing, meta-learning and AutoML.

Learning on a data stream: the formulation of the online learning problem, the learning curve, the issues: efficient model updates, making the model more complex as the sample grows, the equivalence of online and offline, storing the sample and catastrophic forgetting; how online learning differs from incremental learning, continual learning, anytime algorithms; lazy learning and online prototype selection; the online naive Bayes classifier with exponential distributions of features; the perceptron, Passive-Aggressive and online gradient descent; the recursive least squares method and the Sherman–Morrison formula; incremental training of decision trees ID5R; online training of an ensemble by the Hedge(β) algorithm and its financial interpretation; online deep learning and Hedge BackProp; incremental learning of new classes, iCaRL.

The continuity and compactness hypotheses; the Minkowski metric and feature-free distances; the generalized metric classifier, the k nearest neighbours method, the Parzen window and the method of potential functions as a linear classifier; complete cross-validation, the compactness profile and the exact CCV formula for the nearest neighbour method; prototype selection; Nadaraya–Watson kernel smoothing, the choice of kernel and bandwidth.

Multiple linear regression and least squares, the pseudoinverse and the geometric meaning of least squares; the solution through the singular value decomposition; multicollinearity and the condition number; ridge regression, choosing the regularization parameter and the effective dimension; LASSO and non-smooth regularizers for feature selection; principal component analysis as a low-rank matrix decomposition; the spectral method of least squares.

Active learning: the model itself chooses which objects to give the teacher for labelling. The problem setting, why active learning is faster than passive learning, learning curves; pool-based sampling, query synthesis and stream-based selective sampling, cost-sensitive methods; uncertainty sampling (least confidence, minimum margin, maximum entropy), query by committee, version space reduction, expected model change, expected error reduction; query synthesis by the Nelder–Mead method and by the variance reduction criterion; density weighting; exploratory actions, the ε-active and EG-active algorithms with the exponentiated gradient; active learning in crowdsourcing: reconciling annotators' labels, models of their reliability and of object difficulty, assigning tasks to annotators.

The clustering problem and its ill-posedness, the aims of clustering, types of cluster structure, sensitivity to the choice of metric; the problem of semi-supervised learning and transductive learning, why it reduces neither to classification nor to clustering; criteria of clustering quality, the silhouette coefficient, the BCubed measures of precision and recall; the k-means method (Lloyd's algorithm) as a simplification of the EM algorithm for a mixture of Gaussians; the DBSCAN algorithm; agglomerative hierarchical clustering, the Lance–Williams formula and its special cases, the dendrogram, monotonicity, contracting and dilating distances, Ward's distance; semi-supervised learning based on classification: self-training, co-training, co-learning, the transductive SVM, expectation regularisation (XR).

The probabilistic formulation of classification: prior and posterior class probabilities, class likelihood functions, the maximum a posteriori principle; the optimal Bayes classifier and losses from errors; empirical estimation of prior probabilities and class densities; the naive Bayes classifier, features with exponential-family densities and the linear naive Bayes classifier; a survey of Bayesian classifiers: the Parzen window method, the quadratic discriminant, Fisher's linear discriminant, Gaussian mixtures with diagonal covariance matrices, and the radial basis function network.

Time series forecasting problems: the time series model, the forecasting horizon, the least squares method; econometrics as the main source of problems — trends, seasonalities, change points; examples of forecasting sales volumes and electricity prices; the linear autoregression model; a brief survey of forecasting methods; adaptive short-term forecasting methods: the exponential moving average and the smoothing parameter, the models of Holt, Theil–Wage, Winters with linear and exponential trend, adaptive autoregression; the tracking signal and a statistical test of model adequacy, the Trigg–Leach model; adaptive selection and adaptive composition of models, the LAVR method — local adaptation of weights with regularisation, the monotonicity constraint as a regulariser; experiments on the sales forecasting problem.