Search results for “кросс-проверка”

Measures of classification quality: type I and type II errors, the ROC curve and AUC, gradient maximization of AUC, log-loss, precision and recall, micro- and macro-averaging, the F-measure; internal and external criteria of generalization ability; hold-out, leave-one-out, q-fold and t×q-fold cross-validation, stratification; model consistency; regularization, AIC, BIC and the Vapnik–Chervonenkis bound; multi-criteria model selection; feature selection: full search, Add, Add-Del, depth-first search, beam search (GMDH), the genetic algorithm and random search with adaptation.

Objects, features and answers; the types of supervised learning problems; parametric models and the learning method; loss functions and empirical risk minimization; the Runge example and overfitting; hold-out, leave-one-out and cross-validation; applied problems from medical diagnosis to sales forecasting; the CRISP-DM standard.

The problem of estimating generalization ability; the error matrix and the probability of overfitting; the case of a single algorithm and the hypergeometric distribution; the principle of uniform convergence of frequencies and Boole's inequality; the Vapnik–Chervonenkis bound, the growth function and the capacity of a family of algorithms; inverting the bound and the complexity penalty; structural risk minimization; the splitting and similarity effects; the Occam's razor bound and its link to regularization.

Singular homology — standard simplices and the inclusions of facets, singular simplices and chains, the differential; zeroth homology and path components, the homology of a point, reduced homology; chain maps and maps of homology, functoriality, the chain map induced by a continuous map; chain homotopies and the prism; the homotopy invariance theorem with a full proof via the prism operator; subcomplexes, quotient complexes and the homology of a pair.

A survey lecture: machine learning as formulations of optimisation problems, a model, a loss function, a regulariser. Regression and classification, continuous approximations of the threshold loss function, SVM and logistic regression, quantile, robust and SVM regression; the L0, L1, L2, Elastic Net, SFM, RFM regularisers and feature selection; learning to rank: ordinal regression, the pairwise approach and AUC, LambdaRank; estimating a density and a mixture of distributions, clustering as a special case of a mixture, the one-class SVM; semi-supervised learning, the transductive SVM, PU-learning; matrix factorisations, autoencoders, multidimensional scaling, graph factorisations, GraphEDM; transfer learning, multi-task and self-supervised learning, distillation, learning using privileged information, generative adversarial networks; a typology of machine learning problems.

The general scheme of supervised learning for regression, binary and multiclass classification; the margin and continuous approximations of the threshold loss; the linear classifier as a model of a neuron; the stochastic gradient method, momentum, Nesterov's accelerated gradient and heuristics; multicollinearity and L2 regularization; the maximum likelihood principle, its link to empirical risk minimization and the probabilistic meaning of regularization.

Kohonen networks: clustering as a two-layer neural network, the hard (WTA) and soft (WTM) competition rules, self-organising Kohonen maps and their interpretation; autoencoders: the formulation of the problem, the linear autoencoder and the principal component method, sparse, denoising, contractive, relational and variational autoencoders, reparametrisation, autoencoders for supervised learning, multilayer autoencoders; joint training of several models: pre-training and transfer learning, multi-task learning and few-shot learning, self-supervised learning, distillation and surrogate modelling, learning using privileged information (LUPI), generative adversarial networks (GAN).

Interpretability and explainability of machine learning models: goals, tasks and basic notions, who needs explanations and why; interpretable models; feature importance in linear regression: the t-statistic, net effects, contributions and situational importance; partial dependence plots (PDP) and individual conditional expectation plots (ICE); permutation feature importance; the Shapley value from cooperative game theory, its axioms and Monte Carlo estimation, its use in linear regression; surrogate modelling in the neighbourhood of an object, the LIME, Anchors, SHAP, Shapley Kernel and SAGE methods; the Shapley value for training objects, Data Shapley and Gradient Shapley; counterfactual explanations.

The finite probability space and five properties of probability, a description of all probability measures on a finite set, equally likely outcomes and the choice of a model, classical paradoxes (two dice, the division of the stakes, Bertrand's paradox), conditional probability and the product rule, the law of total probability as a way to define a measure, Bayes' formula, independence of events.

Naive set theory and Russell's paradox, Kuratowski's ordered pair and the Cartesian product, a function as a subset of a product, composition, injections, surjections and bijections, the group of bijections and the embedding of any group into it, equinumerosity and indicator functions, the Cantor–Bernstein and Cantor theorems.

Collaborative filtering problems: transaction data, the clients–items matrix, filling in missing values and ranking recommendations, the Netflix Prize competition; user-based and item-based correlation methods, the Pearson, cosine and Jaccard similarity measures, Fisher's exact test; the sparse linear model SLIM; latent models and matrix factorisations: SVD, the alternating least squares method ALS, the latent factor model LFM and stochastic gradient, nonnegative matrix factorisations NNMF, PLSA; taking implicit preferences into account (implicit feedback); matrix factorisation as a linear autoencoder, neural network and denoising autoencoders; taking features of clients and items into account, factorisation machines libFM, a hypergraph topic model; the quality of recommendations: RMSE, precision@k, recall@k, diversity, novelty, coverage, serendipity, bias, offline and online evaluation.

Линейные пространства над произвольным полем, подпространства, линейная зависимость, базис и размерность, сумма и пересечение подпространств, замена базиса.

Nonlinear regression: the Newton–Raphson and Gauss–Newton methods as a series of linear regressions; logistic regression and iteratively reweighted least squares (IRLS); the generalized additive model and backfitting; the probabilistic meaning of least squares; the generalized linear model (GLM), the exponential family of distributions and the link function; logistic regression as a special case of GLM; the median, quantile regression and robust loss functions.

The probabilistic formulation of classification: prior and posterior class probabilities, class likelihood functions, the maximum a posteriori principle; the optimal Bayes classifier and losses from errors; empirical estimation of prior probabilities and class densities; the naive Bayes classifier, features with exponential-family densities and the linear naive Bayes classifier; a survey of Bayesian classifiers: the Parzen window method, the quadratic discriminant, Fisher's linear discriminant, Gaussian mixtures with diagonal covariance matrices, and the radial basis function network.