Search results for “решающие деревья”

The interpretability of models; decision trees and the greedy ID3 algorithm; the axioms of impurity, the entropy and Gini criteria; handling missing values; the merits and drawbacks of the greedy strategy; tree pruning (post-pruning); CART regression trees and Minimal Cost-Complexity Pruning; rule induction: logical regularities, families of rules (conjunctions, syndromes, half-planes, balls), search metaheuristics, a tree as a covering set of conjunctions; the Pareto front in (p,n) space, logical and statistical regularities, Fisher's exact test, informativeness criteria; building a classifier from regularities.

Bias–variance analysis: the decomposition of the error into noise, bias and variance, the bias and variance of simple voting, why complex ensembles do not overfit; gradient boosting for an arbitrary loss function as a parametric approximation of a gradient step; stochastic gradient boosting; special cases: regression, AdaBoost, AnyBoost, variants of loss functions; XGBoost: the tree as a linear model, L0 and L2 regularisation, analytical leaf values and the splitting criterion; CatBoost: leakage in the gradients, ordered boosting on subsamples of doubling length, unbiased target statistics for categorical features.

Learning on a data stream: the formulation of the online learning problem, the learning curve, the issues: efficient model updates, making the model more complex as the sample grows, the equivalence of online and offline, storing the sample and catastrophic forgetting; how online learning differs from incremental learning, continual learning, anytime algorithms; lazy learning and online prototype selection; the online naive Bayes classifier with exponential distributions of features; the perceptron, Passive-Aggressive and online gradient descent; the recursive least squares method and the Sherman–Morrison formula; incremental training of decision trees ID5R; online training of an ensemble by the Hedge(β) algorithm and its financial interpretation; online deep learning and Hedge BackProp; incremental learning of new classes, iCaRL.

The optimal separating hyperplane and the width of the separating strip; the hinge loss and L2 regularization; the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker conditions, the dual problem and the types of objects; kernels, rectifying spaces and the constructive building of kernels; SVM as a two-layer neural network; choosing the constant C; SVM regression; L1 regularization, Elastic Net SVM, SFM and RVM.

Interpretability and explainability of machine learning models: goals, tasks and basic notions, who needs explanations and why; interpretable models; feature importance in linear regression: the t-statistic, net effects, contributions and situational importance; partial dependence plots (PDP) and individual conditional expectation plots (ICE); permutation feature importance; the Shapley value from cooperative game theory, its axioms and Monte Carlo estimation, its use in linear regression; surrogate modelling in the neighbourhood of an object, the LIME, Anchors, SHAP, Shapley Kernel and SAGE methods; the Shapley value for training objects, Data Shapley and Gradient Shapley; counterfactual explanations.

Ensembles of models: base algorithms, the space of estimates, the decision rule and correcting functions; the problem of diversity of base algorithms; bagging, the random subspace method and a common pseudocode of stochastic ensembling; the unbiased out-of-bag estimate and estimating feature importance; converting simple voting into weighted voting; the random forest; boosting for binary classification with abstentions, the exponential approximation of the threshold loss function, the main theorem of AdaBoost with proof, convergence, classical AdaBoost and heuristics; why boosting does not overfit: experiments, bounding the probability of error through margins, the distribution of margins, comparison with bagging; the ComBoost algorithm.

The combinatorial theory of overfitting: the probability of overfitting and why the Vapnik–Chervonenkis bounds are loose; experiments with overfitting — a monotone chain of algorithms, the effect of splitting and connectivity of the family on the probability of overfitting and on the complete cross-validation estimate, overfitting of chains, the exact formula for the probability of overfitting when choosing between two algorithms; the splitting–connectivity graph of a family of algorithms, examples for linear classifiers, a monotone chain and a two-dimensional net; generating and forbidden sets, upper connectivity and inferiority of an algorithm; the splitting–connectivity upper bound, the idea of its proof and its properties.