Search results for “обобщённая линейная модель”

Nonlinear regression: the Newton–Raphson and Gauss–Newton methods as a series of linear regressions; logistic regression and iteratively reweighted least squares (IRLS); the generalized additive model and backfitting; the probabilistic meaning of least squares; the generalized linear model (GLM), the exponential family of distributions and the link function; logistic regression as a special case of GLM; the median, quantile regression and robust loss functions.

Bias–variance analysis: the decomposition of the error into noise, bias and variance, the bias and variance of simple voting, why complex ensembles do not overfit; gradient boosting for an arbitrary loss function as a parametric approximation of a gradient step; stochastic gradient boosting; special cases: regression, AdaBoost, AnyBoost, variants of loss functions; XGBoost: the tree as a linear model, L0 and L2 regularisation, analytical leaf values and the splitting criterion; CatBoost: leakage in the gradients, ordered boosting on subsamples of doubling length, unbiased target statistics for categorical features.

Interpretability and explainability of machine learning models: goals, tasks and basic notions, who needs explanations and why; interpretable models; feature importance in linear regression: the t-statistic, net effects, contributions and situational importance; partial dependence plots (PDP) and individual conditional expectation plots (ICE); permutation feature importance; the Shapley value from cooperative game theory, its axioms and Monte Carlo estimation, its use in linear regression; surrogate modelling in the neighbourhood of an object, the LIME, Anchors, SHAP, Shapley Kernel and SAGE methods; the Shapley value for training objects, Data Shapley and Gradient Shapley; counterfactual explanations.

Ensembles of models: base algorithms, the space of estimates, the decision rule and correcting functions; the problem of diversity of base algorithms; bagging, the random subspace method and a common pseudocode of stochastic ensembling; the unbiased out-of-bag estimate and estimating feature importance; converting simple voting into weighted voting; the random forest; boosting for binary classification with abstentions, the exponential approximation of the threshold loss function, the main theorem of AdaBoost with proof, convergence, classical AdaBoost and heuristics; why boosting does not overfit: experiments, bounding the probability of error through margins, the distribution of margins, comparison with bagging; the ComBoost algorithm.

Vector representations (embeddings) of texts and graphs: the distributional semantics hypothesis, syntagmatic and paradigmatic similarity of words, the CBOW and Skip-gram models of the word2vec program, hierarchical SoftMax on a Huffman tree, negative sampling (SGNS) and the connection of word2vec with the matrix factorisation of the PMI matrix, semantic analogies of words, the FastText model on character n-grams; texts as graphs; multidimensional scaling and the stress criterion, stochastic neighbour embedding SNE, perplexity, t-SNE; matrix factorisations of graphs, the random-walk models DeepWalk and node2vec; graph embedding methods as autoencoders, the generalised GraphEDM model, graph neural networks and message passing.

The continuity and compactness hypotheses; the Minkowski metric and feature-free distances; the generalized metric classifier, the k nearest neighbours method, the Parzen window and the method of potential functions as a linear classifier; complete cross-validation, the compactness profile and the exact CCV formula for the nearest neighbour method; prototype selection; Nadaraya–Watson kernel smoothing, the choice of kernel and bandwidth.