Search results for “адаптивные модели”

Time series forecasting problems: the time series model, the forecasting horizon, the least squares method; econometrics as the main source of problems — trends, seasonalities, change points; examples of forecasting sales volumes and electricity prices; the linear autoregression model; a brief survey of forecasting methods; adaptive short-term forecasting methods: the exponential moving average and the smoothing parameter, the models of Holt, Theil–Wage, Winters with linear and exponential trend, adaptive autoregression; the tracking signal and a statistical test of model adequacy, the Trigg–Leach model; adaptive selection and adaptive composition of models, the LAVR method — local adaptation of weights with regularisation, the monotonicity constraint as a regulariser; experiments on the sales forecasting problem.

The neuron as a linear model; implementing Boolean functions and the exclusive-OR problem; two-layer networks as universal approximators, Cybenko's theorem; the multilayer network and the backpropagation method; the adaptive gradient methods RMSProp, AdaDelta, Adam, Nadam; gradient explosion and gradient clipping; Dropout, ReLU activation functions, batch normalization, initialization and network pruning (Optimal Brain Damage).