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Search results for “combinatorics”

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Combinatorial probability and the tightness of generalization bounds

2008Journal articleK. V. Vorontsov

Pattern Recognition and Image Analysis

Accurate prediction of the generalization ability of a learning algorithm is an important problem in computational learning theory. The classical Vapnik-Chervonenkis (VC) generalization bounds are too general and therefore overestimate the expected error. Recently obtained data-dependent bounds are still overestimated. To find out why the bounds are loose, we reject the uniform convergence principle and apply a purely combinatorial approach that is free of any probabilistic assumptions, makes no approximations, and provides an empirical control of looseness. We introduce new data-dependent complexity measures: a local shatter coefficient and a nonscalar local shatter profile , which can give much tighter bounds than the classical VC shatter coefficient . An experiment on real datasets shows that the effective local measures may take very small values; thus, the effective local VC dimension takes values in [0, 1] and therefore is not related to the dimension of the space.

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Combinatorial Substantiation of Learning Algorithms

2009Journal articleKonstantin Vorontsov

Abstract—Combinatorial cross-validation functionals that characterize the generalization performance of learning algorithms are considered. Upper bounds are derived that are tighter than those in the Vapnik–Chervonenkis statistical theory. The initial data set is not assumed to be independent, identically distributed, or even random. The effect of localization of an algorithm family is described, and the concept of a local growth function is introduced. The basic principles of statistical theory are revised by using the combinatorial approach. The basic causes of complexity bound overestimation are analyzed. Keywords: computational learning theory, learning method, VC-dimension, local growth function, local effective VC-dimension. In learning theory, the generalization performance of a learning algorithm is characterized by the probability of an error. Unfortunately, this hypothetical quantity cannot be calculated or sometimes even satisfactorily evaluated, for example, in the case of small data sets. At the same time, in practice, any learning system deals only with finite data sets, both training and testing. Therefore, it is reasonable to characterize the generalization performance of algorithms with respect to finite data sets. Learning performance is empirically quantified by using independent testing sets, bootstrap, or cross-validation [1]. It is shown in this paper that upper bounds for cross-validation performance functionals can be derived without resorting

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Exact combinatorial bounds on the probability of overfitting for empirical risk minimization

2010Journal articleK. V. Vorontsov

Pattern Recognition and Image Analysis

Three general methods for obtaining exact bounds on the probability of overfitting are proposed within statistical learning theory: a method of generating and destroying sets, a recurrent method, and a blockwise method. Six particular cases are considered to illustrate the application of these methods. These are the following model sets of predictors: a pair of predictors, a layer of a Boolean cube, an interval of a Boolean cube, a monotonic chain, a unimodal chain, and a unit neighborhood of the best predictor. For the interval and the unimodal chain, the results of numerical experiments are presented that demonstrate the effects of splitting and similarity on the probability of overfitting.
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Sharpness Estimation of Combinatorial Generalization Ability Bounds for Threshold Decision Rules

2021Journal articleSh. Kh. Ishkina, K. V. Vorontsov

Automation and Remote Control

This article is devoted to the problem of calculating an exact upper bound for the functionals of the generalization ability of a family of one-dimensional threshold decision rules. An algorithm is investigated that solves the stated problem and is polynomial in the total number of samples used for training and validation and in the number of training samples. A theorem is proved for calculating an estimate for the functional of expected overfitting and an estimate for the error rate of the method for minimizing empirical risk on a validation set. The exact bounds calculated using the theorem are compared with the previously known quick-to-compute upper bounds so as to estimate the orders of overestimation of the bounds and to identify the bounds that could be used in real problems.
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